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Iran exports of crude oil dropped since sanctions announcement

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Iran's crude oil exports and production have declined since the May 2018 announcement by the United States that it would withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and reinstate sanctions against Iran, according to EIA.

On 6 August 2018, the first wind-down period ended and triggered the re-imposition of some sanctions. On 4 November 2018, the second wind-down period will end and trigger the re-imposition of full sanctions, including a number of measures that target Iran’s energy sector.

According to ClipperData, Iran's exports of crude oil and condensate peaked in June at about 2.7 million barrels per day (b/d), more than 300,000 b/d higher than the average during the first four months of the year (before the May announcement of sanctions).

However, in September, Iran’s crude oil and condensate exports fell to 1.9 million b/d. Although some countries, such as France and South Korea, stopped importing crude oil and condensate from Iran in July, other countries continue to import from Iran.

ClipperData indicates that China and India collectively received nearly half of Iran's crude oil and condensate exports in the first half of 2018. During this period, China's imports from Iran averaged 644,000 b/d and India's imports from Iran averaged 554,000 b/d.

In September, China's imports from Iran dropped to 441,000 b/d, the second lowest level since December 2015, while India's imports from Iran were 576,000 b/d.

Whether Iran's energy exports are declining entirely because of the sanctions or for other reasons is unclear. Trade press reports indicate a willingness on India's part to at least partially comply with the sanctions, but China had continued to import from Iran even when previous sanctions were in effect.

In response to the announcement of sanctions by the US, the EU passed a statute to protect European companies doing business in Iran from the effects of US sanctions. Despite this effort, data from ClipperData indicate that France has not imported any crude oil or condensate from Iran since June.

In addition, Italy’s and Spain’s imports from Iran in September were 27,000 b/d and 15,000 b/d lower than their averages for the first half of the year. Some countries could continue to import Iran's crude oil and condensate until the November 4 deadline, at which point they might stop importing from Iran.

Iran's exports have fallen at a faster rate than production. Shipping operators have decreased operations with Iran, but Iran has continued to export largely through the state-run National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) and the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines.

Trade press reports indicate that as countries continue to decrease imports from Iran, some of Iran’s shipping fleet is already being used as floating storage, where crude oil is placed onto ships and stored indefinitely.

Surplus crude oil production capacity in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) could be used to replace some of Iran's crude oil barrels that are coming off the market. Saudi Arabia’s Arab Light is similar in composition to Iran Light crude oil and may provide refiners with a possible crude oil that would not require refiners to make significant alterations to their crude slates.

In addition, trade press reports indicate that Saudi Arabia is offering sales of Khuff condensate. However, the extent to which Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members offer enough volumes of crude oil and condensate to replace exports from Iran is unclear.

After full sanctions are implemented in November, the total volumes of crude oil and condensate coming off the market will become more apparent in the following months.

Source:safety4sea

Five simple tips for boating safety

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On the occasion of the conclusion of New Zealand’s national Safer Boating Weekon 19 October, Maritime NZ reiterated to skippers the importance of always wearing a lifejacket and always ensuring that there is the right size of lifejackets for everyone onboard. Last year, 19 people died in recreational boating accidents on New Zealand waters

As such, Maritime NZ summarized five simple things to help keep safer in boats:

  • Wear your lifejacket – this is the single most important thing to do to help keep yourself safer on the water.
  • Take two waterproof ways to call for help – if you can’t call, then no one can rescue you.
  • Check the marine weather forecast – it is not the same as land and general forecasts, the weather will be different on the water.
  • Avoid alcohol – you know not to drink and drive, it’s the same on a boat.
  • Be a responsible skipper – the skipper is legally responsible for the safety of the boat and everyone onboard.

"If they(skippers) do not have lifejackets they can be fined and can be prosecuted but, in the most tragic situation, no court penalty will ever match the death of a family member or a friend on your boat,"…said Safer Boating Forum Chair, Maritime NZ Deputy Director Sharyn Forsyth.

Kapok-filled lifejackets should not be used at all. They have not been made since the 1980s and, even if they look brand new and have been well looked after, should be replaced and destroyed.

Simple tests for other styles of lifejackets to do every time before you go on the water:

  • Pull the straps, hard. If any of them stretch or tear, do not use the lifejacket, dispose of it, and replace it.
  • Check for any existing tears or cuts in the straps. If there are any, do not use the lifejacket, dispose of it, and replace it.
  • Check for any tears, cuts, or punctures in the lifejacket. If there are any, do not use the lifejacket, dispose of it, and replace it.
  • Check if it floats.

Source:safety4sea

Port of Rotterdam invests 75 mil. euros in Port of Pecém

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On October 24th, the Port of Rotterdam Authority, and Camilo Santana, Governor of the Brazilian state of Ceará, signed an investment agreement regarding the Port of Rotterdam Authority’s participation in the development of the port of Pecém.

The agreement outlines how the Port of Rotterdam Authority will be investing about EUR 75 million in Pecém’s port-industrial complex. The Port of Rotterdam will also gain a joint say in strategic and investment decisions as well as representation in the Brazilian port’s Executive Board, Supervisory Board and management.

The definite participation agreement is expected to close before the end of 2018.

Pecém has several logistics and industrial facilities, including a container terminal, power plants, a steel mill and wind turbine manufacturers. Another feature of the Port is that a large share of the required infrastructure for the port-industrial complex has already been developed.

What is more, the state of Ceará has recently invested in a number of international partnerships in order to develope the region as a hub of international connections for Northeast Brazil.

In addition, the state is establishing underwater data cables for telecommunications that connect Northeast Brazil with Africa and the USA.

Source:safety4sea

NOVATEK to invest RUB 120 billion in production of LNG facilities in Murmansk

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NOVATEK has commenced construction of gravity-based LNG lines at its shipyard in Murmansk. This facility will be built by NOATEK without involvement of the company’s partners with investments estimated at RUB 120 billion, NOVATEK CEO Leonid Mikhelson said at RF Government meeting on 25 October 2018 (the meeting transcript is available at the official website of the Government).

Gravity-based LNG lines will be built at Murmansk shipyard. We have already started the construction of this facility. Investments in this facility (we call it a “plant-building plant”) is estimated at RUB 120 billion. It will built by NOVATEK alone, without partners”, said Leonid Mikhelson.

According to NOVATEK, the project implementation will attract up to 800 Russian companies with the “Murmansk center to integrate all this equipment”. About 15,000 jobs are to be generated in Murmansk with the number of new jobs to be created across Russia to total 80,000.

Leonid Mikhelson says that the target of 57 million tonnes by 2030 foreseen by NOVATEK strategy can be raised in the future. “Over the coming 10 years it will bring additional 1.5-pct growth of GDP and 30 billion dollars of additional export revenues”, he emphasized.

In compliance with RF Government Decree of 2010, NOVATEK is implementing two ambitious projects – Yamal LNG and Arctic LNG 2. The first turn was put in operation in 2017, the second – in August 2018 with the third one to become operational from December 2018, almost a year ahead of schedule, said Leonid Mikhelson.

Taking into consideration early launching of the project, gas carriers will be required for LNG shipment, he said. “In this context we ask for amendments to be introduced in the Merchant Shipping Code to allow that”, said Chairman of NOVATEK Management Board.

It is also very important that we have made a decision to build the fourth line within the Yamal LNG project. This pilot-production line of up to 1 million tonnes will be assembled of 100% Russian equipment and operate under NOVATEK license”, he emphasized.

NOVATEK has commenced the Arctic LNG 2 project. New gravity-based technology lines will be assembled in Murmansk and transported to the Urenneye field on the Gydan peninsula. “We are going to keep 60% of the project. A contract has already been signed with Total to enter the project with 10%. We are in negotiations with a number of other potential partners under this project”, said Leonid Mikhelson.

According to him, the key competitive advantage is the low cost of gas production. As of today, it is 2.5 times less as compared with Henry Hub natural gas futures quotes. With a unique concept of new LNG lines and local content of production facilities it is possible to achieve a considerable competitiveness of liquefaction, believes Leonid Mikhelson.

Source:portnews

IMO Leaves EEDI Requirements Unchanged for Ferries

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The IMO Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC) agreed this week to maintain the existing Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) targets for newly-built ro-ro passenger and ro-ro freight vessels. 

This week's MEPC session tightened EEDI requirements for certain other ship types, but kept the original timeline and reduction rates for ferries. The EEDI targets originally required efficiency improvements of 10 percent by 2015 (relative to the industry average over the span of 1999-2009), 20 percent by 2020 and 30 percent by 2025.

Environmental groups like Transport & Environment have questioned the targets' relevance for large oceangoing vessels: most container ships and freighters under construction already meet or exceed the goals for 2025, seven years ahead of schedule, according to a T&E survey of newbuilds.

After MEPC 71 in July 2017, a correspondence group, including Interferry was set up to review the feasibility of the original EEDI targets. “Some findings in the correspondence group were not adopted by the MEPC, which I regret to say will undoubtedly create major challenges for certain sizes of container, tanker and bulk vessels," said Interferry regulatory affairs director Johan Roos. "We are pleased to note the IMO’s continued recognition of our particular case, where one size definitely does not fit all – ferries have very specific operational requirements which affect their design criteria.”

In April, MEPC 72 applied a 20 percent adjustment in its EEDI calculation formula for ro-ro and ro-pax vessels. Interferry and several flag states had argued that the universally-applicable targets were problematic, even for highly efficient ro-ro newbuild designs, due to the diversity of such vessels. 

"Interferry totally supports the environmental objectives of the EEDI but, as with other shipping sectors, we need to ensure that the measures are fair and practicable," said Roos. “On the wider issue of greenhouse gases, we are also pleased to note that the IMO member states will stick to the historic agreement in April, which set binding improvement targets for the international maritime industry.  There is still much to do on developing the detailed improvement plans, but we are all much helped by having targets that are fixed in time and in level of ambition.”

Source:maritime-executive

NGOs Accuse IMO of Moving Slowly on Carbon Emissions

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On Friday, the Clean Shipping Coalition, an umbrella group for nine environmental NGOs, warned that IMO's Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC) is doing too litle to meet its commitment to reduce shipping's CO2 emissions. 

"[The] total lack of urgency was in stark contrast to the impassioned pleas for action made to delegates by the authors of the recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)," the Coalition said. The IPCC report found that a "rapid," disruptive reduction in humankind's carbon emissions is now required if the planet is to avoid warming of 1.5 degrees C by midcentury (and more warming thereafter). 

Time is running short but that’s not the feeling you get inside the room [at MEPC]," said Transport & Environment shipping director Bill Hemmings. "The commitment last April to agree and implement in the short-term immediate emissions reduction measures has fallen victim to procedure, bureaucracy and delay spearheaded by countries who were never really on board. The U.S., Saudi Arabia and Brazil head that list."

The Coalition pointed to mandatory speed reduction – slow steaming – as a leading possibility for cutting back shipping's emissions. Even as a standalone measure, industry-wide speed limits could deliver on the IMO's goal to reduce carbon intensity by 40 percent by 2030, the group said. "[Slow steaming's] impact on emissions is immediate and incontestable. The commitment of many at the IMO to genuinely reduce ship emissions is not," alleged Seas at Risk's senior policy advisor, John Maggs.

Source:maritime-executive

Learnmarine to Provide Its Learning Content for Maritime LMS Training Platform

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Computer-based training (CBT) specialist, Learnmarine, developer of advanced maritime-specific learning management system (LMS) technology, announced yesterday that they are reached another milestone.

Last week Learnmarine trained it’s 500th seafarer in ECDIS awareness and RADAR Navigation in a Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) training center.

According to Learmarine Managing Director Aleksandr Pipchenko, "Our courses follow a "blended training model", where trainees are first provided with computer-based content, which they study on their own and then take an online theoretical assessment. After successfully completing the assessment the trainee moves on to the practical part of the training. On completion of these two stages, the trainee then takes a practical exam. The courses have helped us to identify many weak points and gaps in the maritime education and training system, which has allowed us to tailor our content delivery in such a way that it stays relevant and effective in the quickly, ever-changing maritime industry."

The training aim is to refresh the theoretical knowledge of RADAR Navigation & ECDIS as well as to perform a practical assessment.

All training materials, practical exercises, and assessments were developed and are being delivered by LEARNMARINE GROUP professional instructors in accordance with international guidelines and company-specific procedures.

"In May 2018 MSC Crewing Services Ukraine began a new type of in-house training that addresses safety of navigation. This training was initiated to satisfy the new ISO 9001 standard requirements that relate to the personnel competence: “…organization to establish a process for assessing existing staff competencies against changing business needs and prevailing trends”, commented Captain Gennadiy Ivanov, Training Officer of MSC CS Ukraine.

Learnmarine – is a provider of custom-made online and in-class training and competency assessment for the maritime industry based in Odessa, Ukraine. Company facilitate the efficient transfer of knowledge essential for improving performance and productivity and maintaining competence.Its goal is to enhance seafarers' knowledge and professional skills with the help of educational media.

 

 

 

Offshore drives Fugro revenue

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Fugro's ongoing expansion in the offshore wind sector helped boost revenue to almost €435m in the third quarter of 2018, up over 19% on the €364m posted in the same period last year.

The company experienced revenue growth in both its marine and land divisions, however, delays in the start of projects hit Fugro's Geoscience unit.

Only one geoscience crew was active in the third quarter, it said. Two other crews are expected to start operations during the fourth quarter of the year, Fugro added.

Fugro chief executive Mark Heine said: “I am pleased to report the third consecutive quarter of top-line growth driven by the ongoing expansion of offshore wind developments and recovery of the global oil and gas market.

In our early cyclical marine site characterisation activities we are experiencing sharp growth and improving prices, resulting in strongly improved profitability.

Source:renews

Hurtigruten Orders New Hybrid Powered Expedition Ship

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Hurtigruten continues to push the borders for green travel – and orders new, groundbreaking hybrid powered expedition cruise ship.

Hurtigruten, an expedition cruise operator, has signed a memorandum of understanding with Norway’s Kleven Verft AS for the construction of their third hybrid powered expedition cruise ship.

The new ship’s design, construction, engineering and advanced technology will be based on Hurtigruten’s two next-generation ships, MS Roald Amundsen and MS Fridtjof Nansen, currently under construction at the Norwegian yard.

The new hybrid powered expedition ship, accommodating 530 guests, will be custom built for some of the most extreme conditions on the planet, with specially designed, ice-strengthened hull.

Green technology and battery packs
The new Hurtigruten hybrid powered expedition ship is expected to be delivered in Q2 2021. Among the innovative green features on the new ship, are substantially larger battery packs to make expedition voyages even more sustainable.

17 ships and growing
Celebrating its 125th anniversary in 2018, Hurtigruten is the world’s largest expedition cruise operator.

With a growing fleet of 17 custom built expedition ships, Hurtigruten explores unique destinations from pole to pole, including Antarctica, South America, Norway, Svalbard, Greenland, Northwest Passage and other Arctic destinations.

Hurtigruten is introducing the world’s first hybrid battery powered cruise ships, the MS Roald Amundsen and the MS Fridtjof Nansen. A third hybrid powered expedition vessel will be added to the fleet in 2021.

Source:marinelink

Navy of the Future: The Revolution & Evolution of Surface Combatants

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Following the drawdown at the end of the Cold War, the Navy finds itself trying to build up again.  The expansion of Russian and Chinese naval power has changed the calculus.  

While there will always be a debate about the final number of ships to build, we can all agree on one thing: the Navy must get bigger and the demand signal is to start building now, said Chief of Naval Operations Adm. John Richardson, in testimony before Congress regarding the sea service’s 2019 budget request. “The Navy (needs) a better fleet, more capability achieved through modernization, networking, agile operating concepts, and a talented force of sailors and civilians with officers of competence and character to lead them. And finally, the nation requires a ready fleet: more at-sea time, more flying, more maintenance and more weapons of increased lethality that go faster, farther and are more survivable.” A tall order indeed, with the main question remaining: From where will the money come?

Designing, Building, Maintaining the Future Fleet
For the U.S. Navy, designing and building the fleet of tomorrow has always been heavily influenced by the past and present.  That goes for the technology on the ships to the industrial capacity to produce them.  It takes years to build a ship from design to construction before entering the fleet, especially the first ship of a class.  Making the design and build particularly challenging is the fact that a lot of technology changes from initial drawing to commissioning, particularly today with the acceleration of technology change. That’s why building tomorrow’s Navy will require a different approach. One critical point to always keep in mind: The industrial capacity to design, build, outfit and maintain a naval force is not a faucet that can simply be turned on and off.

Commonality Matters
The Navy is now planning for a large surface combatant and a small surface combatant, referred to as the frigate.  
When we think about the distribution of our force, we need capacity, so we need some things to be big and some things to be small, and figuring out how we can balance capacity and cost and distribute those sensors and shooters most cost effectively within our force,” said Rear Adm. Ron Boxall, director for surface warfare on the OPNAV staff.  

The large surface combatant will take the DDG 51 Flight III combat system and place it on a larger hull, with the space, weight and power for mission growth.   The frigate is also moving forward, with five industry teams under contract for conceptual work.  “They’re working with our program offices to mature the system specification and the individual designs, inside the cost parameters that we’re looking for to make that small surface combatant a common, networked, surface platform to do both sensing and shooting, and common to the large surface combatant and our unmanned platform or platforms,” said Boxall.  “We’re using a lot of government-furnished equipment (GFE) systems that we already know, so we’re not bringing a lot of uncertainty in.” While the frigate will leverage an existing design, the large combatant would require a new design with the appropriate size and power.

Boxall said that unmanned systems are another way to distribute the force and build capacity.  “We need things to be as small as they possibly can be, but big enough to do what they need to do.”  
At the small surface combatant level, that force needs to have capacity at a cost, but it’s got to be able to sense and shoot and do command and control, and that just won’t have as big a sensor, it won’t have as much capacity to shoot, but it will still have that same common combat system,” Boxall said.  “So that’s why commonality matters. It’ll have the same radar as the large surface combatant. And the same thing if you look at the unmanned platform, it might be a sensor, or shooter, or something in between – a command and control node, but not all of those things.”  

There has long been the desire to create a “common hull” that could be configured as needed.  The benefits are obvious, with reduced design and fabrication costs and commonality for spares and training.  But the promise has been elusive.  There are so many tradeoffs, that the result is a compromise that is never optimal for any one mission.
There are examples of system commonality that has saved money and allowed for more efficient use of manpower, training and support.

• CGs and DDGs have similar sensors, guns, launchers and missiles.

• The replacement for the Whidbey Island class of LSDs will be based on a lesser capable version of the San Antonio class of LPD.  There will be advantages in commonality, and cost savings in design and construction by avoiding an entirely new design.

• Italy and France have built their FREMM frigates with a common hull, but with general purpose and ASW variants.  Likewise, Denmark’s frigates and flexible support ships are basically two variants of the same common hull, with one ship designed for multi-purpose missions and the other for ASW and AAW, using the same Terma C-Flex combat management system.

There is commonality between the Lockheed Martin Aegis combat system on U.S. Navy guided missile cruisers and destroyers, and anti-air warfare ships of other allied navies, and the COMBATTS 21 system on the Freedom variant of LCS, which is based on Aegis.  Likewise, the Independence variant of LCS uses Tacticos, a variant of the Thales Tacticos system found on many naval vessels.  The total ship computing environment on Independence is similar to the one found on the Spearhead-class of expeditionary fast transports, both provided by General Dynamics Mission Systems.

Modularity is another way to achieve commonality.  Adaptive force packages, including systems and operators like the General Dynamics Knifefish or Kongsberg MK 18 mine countermeasures systems — can operate from LCS, or another platform, such as the EPF.  

Capability Evolution
For several generations of U.S. Navy combatants, the subsequent classes of ships were adapted from previous classes and carried something new forward.  But the ships were not entirely transformational.

The Dealy (DE 1006) class was the first post war DE purpose-built for ASW.  They were not highly capable, but they were followed by the Bronsteins.  The Bronstein (DE 1037) class of escort ships had new sonar and ASW weapons, which was then installed on the Garcia (DE 1040) and still larger Knox (DE 1052) class of escorts.  Everything on the 1037 was on the 1040, except the 1040 was more seaworthy. The Garcia class frigates had proven guns and ASW systems, but a new power plant, which was carried forward to the Brooke (FFG 1) class of guided missile escorts, but not subsequent ships. Like the Bronsteins, there wasn’t much margin for growth.   The Knox and slightly modified Joseph Hewes (DE 1078) classes had much more room. The Spruance (DD 963) class destroyers had an updated weapon system from the earlier Forest Shermans, but with a larger hull and entirely new gas turbine propulsion system.  The search radars and sonars weren’t new but the Mk 86 fire control system was new and the SPG-50 and SPQ-9 radars were a new leap.  And the Spruance class had plenty of room, and allowance for more weight, along with great power excess, making it logical to use the Spruance platform for the Ticonderoga (CG 47) class guided missile cruiser and its revolutionary Aegis combat system.  

Oliver Hazard Perry (FFG 7) guided missile frigate was a 20-year “throwaway” ship with a small crew, with no margin for more capability or more people.  It was designed for open ocean convoy escort duty, but not one FFG ever performed that mission.  Like other frigates, with top speeds of less than 30 knots, the FFG 7s were speed limited in battle group operations.  However, the fact that it had two helicopters and received a towed sonar system made it a valuable asset.  And they became a valuable utility player in battle group operations.  With a shallower draft than the DDG 51s, they could enter more ports than other combatants, and were better suited for detached assignments such as maritime interdiction operations than larger, more capable ships. They lasted 35 years instead of 20.

The Ticonderoga (CG 47) class guided missile cruisers were built on the Spruance hull (the hull and engineering was almost identical).  The first five CG-47s were decommissioned well before they reached their expected service life because they just couldn’t be affordably upgraded with the vertical launch system (VLS).

The Arleigh Burke (DDG 51) class of guided missile destroyers essentially takes the CG 47 combat system and places it on a new hull.  An effort to lower construction costs called for reducing the amount of steel required to build it.  That made it compact, which reduced room to grow, and often made it difficult to perform maintenance in confined spaces.  A later Flight II version was a little bigger, and the added helo hangar allowed an air detachment to be embarked.  Now the Flight III version is underway, with a new sensor suite.  
There are many more examples of evolutionary development, such as converting World War II cruisers into missile ships, the development of the Stand missile family of surface ship weapons, and the introduction of nuclear power for surface combatants. And this article does not focus on the emerging technologies, such as directed energy weapons and unmanned system, which will certainly alter the trajectory of surface ship development.

In most of these cases, there was innovation combined with something tried and true-revolution and evolution.  That was not the case with the Zumwalt (DDG 1000) class DDGs, in which everything was new and different.

New is Old
Even the most modern warship is, in some ways, obsolete when it is commissioned. As the new DDG 1000 guided missile destroyers enter service we can appreciate all of the “new” technology that has gone into those ships.  But the concept for those ships is not new.
To understand the genesis, we need to go back to 1987, when Vice Adm. Joe Metcalf, the Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Surface Warfare (OP-03) on the Navy staff stood up two study groups—the Ship Operational Characteristics Study (SOCS) and the Surface Combatant Force Requirement Study (SCFRS)—to examine the operational characteristics required of surface combatant and how many would be needed respectively.

The SCFRS (pronounced “skiffers”) report assessed and validated the numbers, types and capabilities of surface combatants needed during the coming quarter century, while SOCS studied the required operational characteristics those ships would need to meet the forecast threat.

The SOCS study took a fresh look at legal, institutional, operational and cultural factors that resulted in surface combatant designs, and the operational and maintenance practices that drove manpower requirements.
One of the ideas to come out of these studies was the “arsenal ship,” which later morphed into the SC 21 (surface combatant for the 21st century), and then the DD 21 land attack destroyer.  In 2001 DD 21 was cancelled but it was resurrected as DD(X).  As the Navy would stop building the Arleigh Burke class of DDGs, the Navy could focus on DD(X), and a follow-on cruiser, CG(X).  The contract for the first DDG 1000, now called the Zumwalt class, was signed on Valentine’s Day of 2008. It was to be the first of 32 ships.  They would be optimized for strike warfare to support expeditionary strike groups.  That number was pared to 24, then 12, then seven, then eventually just three.  As with most new ship classes, the first ship took a long time to build, with General Dynamics Bath Iron Works investing heavily in creating a facility that could build these ships.

USS Zumwalt today embodies the ideas first proposed in SOCS almost three decades ago.  The ship has integrated electric propulsion (generating 78 MW of power); smooth topside spaces with embedded antennas; a high degree of automation and resilient electrical, communications and fire main distribution.  Just as SOCS recommended, while Zumwalt has a bridge for conning, it is completely enclosed, and cameras and microphones provide sensory awareness for the watch team.  The 80 vertical launch cells are located around the periphery of the ship for survivability.  The two 6-inch guns retract into a stealth housing.  It’s quiet and stealthy.  It has the radar cross section of a fishing boat.  Automation has reduced crew size from 300 on a 9,800 ton DDG 51 to 147 on a 15,800 ton DDG 1000.
Was the investment in all that new technology worth it?  

If one looks at the three Zumwalt class ships as research and development platforms, then some very useful technology has come to fruition that will ultimately find its way into future naval ships.  But it’s hard to look at the vision that began back in 1987, and pursued for so many years, and feel satisfaction that the vision has become a reality.
About the same time as DD(X) was evolving into the DDG 1000 program, the concept of LCS was being introduced.  The littoral combat ship was supposed to be a simple platform with lots of volume for interchangeable combat capability that could address the Combatant Commanders’ most significant asymmetric threats in the littoral.  It was to a “truck,” that you loaded up as needed.  Again, it took some time to get the first few ships into the fleet, but those teething pains are behind us, and both variants (the monohull being built by Lockheed Martin and the trimaran being built by Austal USA) are in serial production.  32 will be built, and there are already a significant number of them in the fleet.  

Lessons learned in developing DDG 100 and LCS will influence future generations of warships.  But can we evolve and adapt fast enough to put the right ship in the right place tomorrow?

Industrial Capacity
With the current fleet size well below 300 ships, and a goal of 355, there is the issue of the industrial capacity to be able to build that many new ships.  There is a dearth of domestic industrial capacity to design and build ships, and field them in a timely manner.  There are only two yards building DDGs today, two building submarines, two building LCS, and one building carriers and one building amphibs.  Presumably they could make adjustments and hire the workforce to dramatically step up production.

But what about maintenance, modernization and repair?
More ships means more maintenance.  Any effort to grow the fleet will also include keeping useful ships around longer. A ship with a 30-year expected service life usually has a planned mid-life modernization to bring it up to date.  An additional modernization availability could keep her for another decade or more.  The Navy now plans to extend the service life of the entire class of DDGs to 45 years, which means more shipyard capacity is needed to accomplish those overhauls.

The Optimized Fleet Response Plan (OFRP) was designed to align strike group deployments with maintenance availabilities training and workups and to provide predictability and stability for Sailors and families, not to mention the training commands and maintenance and repair yards.

There are just a few players who have the pier space, cranes, dry docks and shops to handles U.S. Navy ships.  There are some commercial yards that could start to take on Navy work, and there are some smaller companies that could bid on contracts and go to the bigger yards for the docking or other work that requires the serious infrastructure to accomplish.  But like construction, this is not something light can be turned on with the flick of a switch.

Very few yards have dry docks big enough for large naval vessels, and that includes Navy owned dry docks.  There is discussion on procuring a new dry dock for the Navy.  Most large dry docks today are built in China.  A Navy dock would have to be made in America.  But most U.S. yards don’t have the ability to build a large floating dry dock.  And even if there is capacity, it must be closely scheduled far in advance to fully utilize the significant investment. And while the Navy has strived to execute the OFRP, in reality the maintenance is contracted piecemeal.

Source:marinelink